[En] Ep0001 [The highest essential betting point is in ‘Ken’] Weekly Traders Tribune


“Stock speculation is the most attractive game in the world. But those who are lazy, those who can not control emotions, and those who think that they can earn quickly can not absolutely make a profit ” Jesse Lauriston Livermore

1. Chinchororin

There is a gambling called chinchorolin. Chinchorolin throws three dice (sai dice) into pottery bowls, bowls and the like and exchanges dividends in accordance with the appearance of rhinoceros between parents (waisters of gambling stations) and children (gamblers) It is a gamble. It is said that its name appeared from the ringing “Chinchorin” when shaking the rhinoceros

This game is not a gambling that gambling (houses), waiting births and parents monopolize the flow of gambling like gaming, casino, horse racing, pachinko, etc. Parents have expectations that are superior to children, but parents’ rights go through (fairly) to everyone who participates in the bet by a rule called “turning torso (turn around)”. According to the rule of “turning torso”, long term expectation value becomes neutral even in the short term if parents dominate.

Chinchorin was easy to do within the group owing to the ease and fairness of the game. It is said to be fair zero · sum · game (winner and profit, gaming becomes zero if you do a sum of losses of losers) because you do not need shoba fee (inverted word of place fee) and no fee. There is no dependency on the outcome of the past game by ensuring the randomness of the bet using the act of throwing three rhinos into the vessel and reorienting the rhyme every match, it is a complete independent trial game .

2. Law of the mean

Chinchorolin is a fair zero · sum game, so that the winning / losing will be probability theory by 50/50 (Fifty · Fifty) by “the law of the average”. However, it is rare that actual results will be 50/50. Often it is a result of a gap in either, sometimes biased to the extent that it is unlikely to be a fair random event. As the play continues for a long time, the number of victory or defeat goes away from the expected value, and its standard deviation is due to continuing to expand forever towards the outside. It is opposite from the generally believed feeling, but this is also the “law of the mean”.

A phenomenon in which such probability theory differs from the result of reality appears regardless of the position of the parent or child, and it is impossible for a betting participant to intentionally operate it. If we talk about this phenomenon strictly, we can say that “distortion of probability”, “mischief of probability”, “diffusion and convergence”, “uncertainty in random process”, flatly “flow of the place”, “wave , “Luck”, “tsuki (with)”, “hiki (pull)”, etc. are expressed in a sensual / abstract manner.

Anyway, thanks to this phenomenon, the result of the bet may go as expected (as calculated) or not. The “law of the average” sometimes works favorably for himself or sometimes at a disadvantage.

3. Do “Ken”

With Chinchorin ‘s rule, parents can give up parent’ s right (parent number) crawling in order, and the child can pass the game whenever he likes. I say that parents give up their parents number, that children pass games, “Ken (see)” these.

“Ken” means “to wait without betting”. It is an attempt to change “flow of the place” or “wave” by “self-judging” an inoperable fate called “luck”, “tsuki” and “hiki” in the random process, Waiting until the tide’s eyes change to the winner of.

Chinchorin has superiority in parents. Nevertheless, “to ken” the parent’s number is aware that he is being freed out so much “Tsuki”. The fact that the child “token” the game is surely that the parent at that time is blessed with a powerful “hiki”.

For children who do not have luck, the babe gets bullish by increasing the wager as “win”. So when the master number comes around to those who do not have it, I will kill it and let it go. When a master number comes around to a person with luck, the child will compete with the “winning pear” game. Those who kept Ken without luck, judged that the rest of the others had gone bad, will stop Ken against that and turn it into bullish.

4. Bullish that you will not see a game

With Chinchorin, I can not win unless I can use “Ken” well. “Flow of the place”, “Wave” are read and whether you are bullish or bearish against the game, how do you favor the “flow of the place”, “wave”, “luck”, “tsuki” Can you attract ‘Hijiki’? Because it becomes calm once when you have read differently. To surely “wait” until the eyes of the tide change on their own winner.

In this era when the program deals insensitively, is not it important for a living human being to survive?

The bullish saying “I will wait for a game”,  ‘The secret of betting is in Ken’

Thank you very much for reading to the end. Please look forward to the next issue.

Weekly Traders Tribune

【日経225オプション】専業トレーダー。Extremistan に生息するユキヒョウ、好物はクズOP。2005年にFXデビュー後、2010年からオプションをメインにトレード。3.11で吹き飛んだことを切欠に、とある天才プロ集団であるクローズドギルドで勉強させてもらえることに。以来、戦友たちと切磋琢磨しつつ【ギルドの訓え】を身に付けるべく実践し、真剣に日々の取引を積み上げています。本サイトの開設は2018.07。

[Nikkei 225 option] trader. Snow leopard living in Extremistan, favorite is garbage OP. After FX debut in 2005, we trade the option to main from 2010. By noticing what we blew up in 3.11 we decided to study at a closed guild, a genius professional group. Since then, practicing to acquire [Guild's lesson] while practicing hardly with the fellows, we are accumulating daily transactions seriously. The opening of this site is 2018.07. TOKYO, JAPAN.

[Monthly profit and loss]

2019.02 +330,000 JPY
2019.01 +474,000 JPY
2018.12 +1,735,000 JPY
2018.11 +371,000 JPY
2018.10 +1,947,000 JPY
2018.09 +201,000 JPY
2018.08 +556,500 JPY

Emon Report for Nikkei225option trading